Le Havre 1-5 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Apr 2025

Le Havre
1-5 HT 1-3
Rennes
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 25% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
10%
7.5
X/2
18%
4.75
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.81
2/X
10%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.52/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.24
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 84%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
22.9 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Le Havre vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
335 Passes 494
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
11.02.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
27.08.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
08.07.2015 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ
07.02.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.11.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FRLK

Le Havre 1-5 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-5
AWAY Rennes
0.61 xG 2.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
389 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes cruised past Le Havre 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Le Havre had 55% of the ball to Rennes's 45%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.61 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Havre and 1.00 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Rennes?

Le Havre 1-5 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 26%, draw 26%, Rennes 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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