York United vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
York United vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
York United
CAPL
0-2
HT 0-1
HFX Wanderers
KAPL
York United 1-2 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
HFX Wanderers squeezed past York United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; HFX Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York United had 47% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.49 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York United and 1.50 for HFX Wanderers.
What was the final score of York United vs HFX Wanderers?
York United 1-2 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs HFX Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split York United 39%, draw 27%, HFX Wanderers 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.