HFX Wanderers 2-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.26/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
-8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.2 Crosses 18.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY York United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.69 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 391
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
06.07.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
25.05.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
04.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United CAPL
30.07.2023 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
22.06.2023 York United York United 2-2 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
2-1
AWAY York United
1.99 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
377 Passes 448
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 46% of the ball to York United's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.99 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.50 for York United.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs York United?

HFX Wanderers 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 44%, draw 23%, York United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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