Pacific FC 1-0 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
52%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.48/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.67
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +139%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
15.6 Crosses 10.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
15.07.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
12.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
24.09.2023 Forge Forge 3-1 HT 2-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
22.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL
11.06.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
1-0
AWAY Forge
1.56 xG 0.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
230 Passes 378
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC squeezed past Forge 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Pacific FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pacific FC had 41% of the ball to Forge's 59%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.56 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pacific FC and 1.50 for Forge.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Forge?

Pacific FC 1-0 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 38%, draw 26%, Forge 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
19 Oct 2024
23:00 HFX Wanderers vs York United Analysis →
23:00 Valour vs Cavalry Analysis →
23:00 Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC Analysis →