Valour 1-2 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.86/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.08
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.7 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cavalry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
305 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
08.07.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
30.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
12.08.2023 Valour Valour 3-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
01.07.2023 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-2
AWAY Cavalry
0.47 xG 1.66
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
195 Passes 449
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valour vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Valour 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Valour had 34% of the ball to Cavalry's 66%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.47 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valour and 1.67 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Valour vs Cavalry?

Valour 1-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valour 32%, draw 26%, Cavalry 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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