AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.52
2-3 Goals
36%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.35
6+ Goals
15%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.93
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
13%
5.78
X/2
13%
6.85
X/X
8%
6.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.0
2/2
12%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 15% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.0pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.58/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.65
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
10.7 Crosses 14.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PSV II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
414 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 PSV II PSV II 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
07.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
25.11.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
08.03.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 4-1 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
24.11.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
27.02.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-3 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0-2
AWAY PSV II
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II saw off AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 51% of the ball to PSV II's 49%, shots finished 22-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.67 for PSV II.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II?

AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 49%, draw 20%, PSV II 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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