Sakaryaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sakaryaspor v Esenler Erokspor — Team-Based Signals
Sakaryaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Sakaryaspor 1-2 Esenler Erokspor — Actual Match Statistics
Esenler Erokspor nicked a narrow win over Sakaryaspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sakaryaspor had 38% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 62%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.29 to 3.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Esenler Erokspor's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.67 for Esenler Erokspor.
What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Sakaryaspor 1-2 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 13%, draw 25%, Esenler Erokspor 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.