Sivasspor 1-3 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.05/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
+51% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.4 Crosses 15.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-1D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.26 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
17.05.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
23.12.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
13.03.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
11.09.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-3
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.59 xG 1.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
17 Corners 2
368 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor got the better of Sivasspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sivasspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sivasspor had 60% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 40%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.59 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sivasspor and 1.40 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs İstanbulspor?

Sivasspor 1-3 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 43%, draw 26%, İstanbulspor 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sivasspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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