Amed SK 2-2 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
73%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.29/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.92
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
28.3 Crosses 12.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.71 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-4 HT 1-2 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
27.04.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
23.12.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 2-0 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-2
AWAY Ümraniyespor
2.53 xG 1.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
449 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK and Ümraniyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Amed SK at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Amed SK had 61% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 39%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.53 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amed SK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Amed SK and 2.00 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor?

Amed SK 2-2 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 68%, draw 21%, Ümraniyespor 12%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Amed SK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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