ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Metlaoui v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals
ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
ES Metlaoui
TUN1B
0-0
HT 0-0
ES Metlaoui
TUN1
ES Metlaoui nicked a narrow win over AS Marsa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Metlaoui and 0.67 for AS Marsa.
What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa?
ES Metlaoui 1-0 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 43%, draw 32%, AS Marsa 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.