Umm Salal 1-1 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Shamal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
266 Passes 329
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 4-0 HT 3-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
31.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
16.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
05.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
27.12.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
29.09.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
1-1
AWAY Al Shamal
1.20 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
333 Passes 512
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 41
25 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal and Al Shamal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shamal at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Umm Salal had 42% of the ball to Al Shamal's 58%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.20 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Umm Salal and 2.17 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?

Umm Salal 1-1 Al Shamal in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 25%, draw 26%, Al Shamal 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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