Tuggeranong United 2-3 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
61%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
61%
Away Win
67%
-5.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.4pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 71%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.88/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/0.95
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Canberra FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 3
31.08.2025 Canberra FC Canberra FC 7-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
20.07.2025 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-7 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
25.05.2025 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
11.08.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
16.06.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
29.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC nicked a narrow win over Tuggeranong United 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tuggeranong United and 4.50 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC?

Tuggeranong United 2-3 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 18%, draw 21%, Canberra FC 61%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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