Union Omaha 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
+26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.2 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
299 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
10.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
08.09.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
27.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
11.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
1-0
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.76 xG 0.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
187 Passes 329
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over Greenville Triumph 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 41% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 59%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.76 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Omaha and 1.17 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?

Union Omaha 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 45%, draw 28%, Greenville Triumph 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ BTTS Yes
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