Kairat 1-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
2.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.14
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
497 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
16.04.2025 Kairat Kairat 4-0 HT 2-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
06.04.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 1-4 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
10.11.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
08.05.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 3-1 HT 3-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
04.05.2024 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
29.10.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat and Atyrau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kairat at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kairat and 0.67 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Atyrau?

Kairat 1-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kairat 67%, draw 21%, Atyrau 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kairat), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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