Tobol 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.71
Over 2.5
58%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.9
No
39%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
55%
-12.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
45%
+12.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+12.6pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.34/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.99
-1% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
02.08.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.05.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
11.08.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
31.03.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
03.06.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol saw off Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Tobol 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tobol 46%, draw 25%, Kyzyl-Zhar 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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