Atletico Tucuman 2-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.7
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
13%
7.98
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
11%
7.25
2/X
9%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.40/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.24
-4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.7 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
4W-0D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.11 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 296
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
23.09.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
13.02.2018 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
05.06.2017 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
14.05.2016 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2-1
AWAY San Martin San Juan
0.75 xG 0.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
180 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman squeezed past San Martin San Juan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 38% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 62%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.20 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs San Martin San Juan?

Atletico Tucuman 2-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 44%, draw 28%, San Martin San Juan 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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