CA Sarmiento vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Sarmiento v Independiente — Team-Based Signals
CA Sarmiento vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
1-2
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-1
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
6-0
HT 4-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
CA Sarmiento 2-2 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics
CA Sarmiento and Independiente shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Sarmiento had 28% of the ball to Independiente's 72%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA Sarmiento and 2.17 for Independiente.
What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Independiente?
CA Sarmiento 2-2 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Independiente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 29%, draw 32%, Independiente 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.