Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.10/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.13
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
24.5 Crosses 21.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 219
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
03.06.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
01.03.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.02.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
18.08.2016 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-1
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
0.62 xG 1.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
267 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Instituto Cordoba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 52% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 48%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.62 to 1.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Instituto Cordoba's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Instituto Cordoba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.50 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 40%, draw 32%, Instituto Cordoba 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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