Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.41
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.76
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
6%
8.09
X/X
16%
3.65
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
17%
7.28
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
0.86/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.40
-74% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
25.5 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.86 xG 1.70
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
156 Passes 380
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2025 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
24.07.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-2
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.48 xG 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys edged past Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Rivadavia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 55% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 45%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.48 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.00 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Newells Old Boys?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 43%, draw 29%, Newells Old Boys 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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