Rockdale Ilinden 1-4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.65/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.28
+38% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
1W-0D-5L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.72 xG 2.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 326
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-3 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 2-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
12.02.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-0 HT 3-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
04.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers swept aside Rockdale Ilinden 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rockdale Ilinden at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 3.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Rockdale Ilinden 1-4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 43%, draw 23%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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