Valentine Phoenix 2-1 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.76
Draw
34%
4.08
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-13.2pp
34%
Draw
21%
+13.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.3pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 604 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
3W-2D-0L
AWAY New Lambton FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
25.05.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-0 HT 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
02.03.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
24.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
01.04.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix nicked a narrow win over New Lambton FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Valentine Phoenix found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 0.80 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs New Lambton FC?

Valentine Phoenix 2-1 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valentine Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 39%, draw 34%, New Lambton FC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valentine Phoenix), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
13 Jul 2025
00:00 Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves Analysis →
07:00 Belmont Swansea vs Lambton Jaffas Analysis →
08:00 Yoogali vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →
08:00 St. George Saints vs St George City FA Analysis →
08:00 Central Coast II vs Sydney Olympic Analysis →
08:00 Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Analysis →