Sparta Selemet 0-6 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
64%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
3.23
No
45%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+9.3pp
22%
Draw
8%
+14.5pp
64%
Away Win
88%
-23.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
27%
+28.6pp
45%
BTTS No
73%
-28.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 94%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.37/3.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.48/0.00
-18% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Zimbru
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 6-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
30.03.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
10.11.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-3 HT 1-2 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
19.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
0-6
AWAY Zimbru
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru swept aside Sparta Selemet 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 43% of the ball to Zimbru's 57%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sparta Selemet and 3.50 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs Zimbru?

Sparta Selemet 0-6 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 14%, draw 22%, Zimbru 64%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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