FC Sheriff 1-0 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.3pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.8pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 8%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.34/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.19
-24% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +20%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
518 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
6W-0D-0L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
16.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
05.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
02.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
21.09.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
18.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-0
AWAY CSF Balti
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff edged past CSF Balti 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 73% of the ball to CSF Balti's 27%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.50 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

FC Sheriff 1-0 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 62%, draw 21%, CSF Balti 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
13 Jul 2025
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