Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Argentina - Cup, 13 Aug 2026

Atletico Tucuman
vs
Independiente
📅13/08/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Argentina - Cup – 2026

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Atletico Tucuman v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.55
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
182 Passes 352
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2025 Independiente Independiente 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
01.05.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
10.12.2024 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
01.04.2024 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
05.11.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
23.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
COMMENT Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Atletico Tucuman's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.33 for Independiente.

When do Atletico Tucuman and Independiente play?

Atletico Tucuman play Independiente in the Argentina - Cup on 13/08/2026, kick-off 01:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?

Our model's prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente is an Independiente win at about 45% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Atletico Tucuman 29%, draw 26%, Independiente 45%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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