Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
1W-0D-5L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.72 xG 2.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 326
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-4 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
30.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-3 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 2-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
12.02.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-0 HT 3-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers squeezed past Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rockdale Ilinden at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 3.33 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 44%, draw 22%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →