Southern District RSA 0-3 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
59%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 59%
-26% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.44/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.44
-60% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +119%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Lee Man
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-1 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
09.03.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
31.08.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
27.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
07.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.02.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
0-3
AWAY Lee Man
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man swept aside Southern District RSA 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 48% of the ball to Lee Man's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.67 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Southern District RSA 0-3 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 18%, draw 23%, Lee Man 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Under 2.5
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