Albirex Niigata 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Sep 2025

Albirex Niigata
0-1 HT 0-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.31
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
16%
5.16
X/2
10%
6.17
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.37
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.14/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.21
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.7 Crosses 18.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.38 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 412
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
26.11.2017 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-3 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
11.03.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.08.2015 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
14.03.2015 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
22.10.2014 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP

Albirex Niigata 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
419 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse edged past Albirex Niigata 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 56% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.17 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.50 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Albirex Niigata 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 39%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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