Kashima Antlers 3-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.87
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1 EV+ ✓
29%
4.11
X/2
6%
11.25
X/X
8%
6.26
2/1
12%
20.1
2/2
7%
8.64
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · X/1 at 4.11 — our 29% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.79/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.77
-11% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.3 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
292 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
28.09.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 3-2 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-2 HT 2-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
11.06.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.08.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
3-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.10 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
406 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers ran out comfortable winners over Shonan Bellmare 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 52% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 48%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 1.33 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Shonan Bellmare?

Kashima Antlers 3-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 62%, draw 21%, Shonan Bellmare 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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