Necaxa 1-1 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Sep 2025

Necaxa
1-1 HT 0-1
FC Juarez
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Necaxa vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
29%
-6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Necaxa v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.36/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.6 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

Necaxa vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
2W-4D-0L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.98
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
222 Passes 378
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.04.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-2 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
25.08.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
04.02.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
17.09.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
13.03.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
23.07.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK

Necaxa 1-1 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
1-1
AWAY FC Juarez
1.29 xG 1.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
426 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa and FC Juarez couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Necaxa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Necaxa had 62% of the ball to FC Juarez's 38%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.29 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Necaxa and 1.00 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs FC Juarez?

Necaxa 1-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 51%, draw 27%, FC Juarez 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Necaxa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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