FC Juarez 2-2 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.7 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Necaxa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
04.02.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
17.09.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
13.03.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
23.07.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
08.01.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
2-2
AWAY Necaxa
1.03 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
287 Passes 205
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Necaxa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Juarez had 57% of the ball to Necaxa's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.03 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Juarez and 1.50 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Necaxa?

FC Juarez 2-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 34%, draw 26%, Necaxa 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Necaxa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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