Pachuca 0-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.62/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
+16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.3 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
09.08.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca CONLK
07.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-3 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
08.10.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
16.01.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.10.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.59 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
380 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca and Tigres UANL fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pachuca had 53% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 47%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.59 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Pachuca 0-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 49%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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