Guadalajara vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Puebla 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Guadalajara had 54% of the ball to Puebla's 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.83 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guadalajara and 0.83 for Puebla.
Guadalajara vs Puebla Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 1 - 0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Puebla Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 65%, draw 22%, Puebla 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.