Guadalajara vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Puebla 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Guadalajara had 54% of the ball to Puebla's 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.83 to 0.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guadalajara and 0.83 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Puebla?
Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 50%, draw 28%, Puebla 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.