Baerum vs Frigg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baerum v Frigg — Team-Based Signals
Baerum vs Frigg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Frigg
NOR3
4-1
HT 2-0
Baerum
NOR3
3-2
HT 1-0
Frigg
HAZ
Baerum 2-3 Frigg — Actual Match Statistics
Frigg edged past Baerum 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Frigg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Baerum had 47% of the ball to Frigg's 53%, shots finished 10-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baerum had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Baerum and 2.50 for Frigg.
What was the final score of Baerum vs Frigg?
Baerum 2-3 Frigg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baerum vs Frigg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Frigg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baerum 40%, draw 12%, Frigg 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frigg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.