Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.55/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.95
+50% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.09.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URUK
19.06.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
21.03.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
10.11.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 2-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
17.12.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-2
AWAY CA Penarol
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and CA Penarol couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 48% of the ball to CA Penarol's 52%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.33 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 31%, draw 24%, CA Penarol 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
13 Sep 2025
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