Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Sep 2026

📅13/09/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.97 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 Passes 432
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
07.03.2026 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-2 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
04.01.2026 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
10.05.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-0 HT 4-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
06.10.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
25.05.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
PREVIEW Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Atletico Madrid's last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Real Sociedad against 2.17 for Atletico Madrid.

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Kick-off Time

Real Sociedad play Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid is an Atletico Madrid win at about 40% probability, priced 2.36 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Real Sociedad 33%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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