Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Colombia - Primera, 13 Sep 2026

📅13/09/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.81
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
51%
1.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 0.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
212 Passes 350
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2026 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 2-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
03.02.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
01.08.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
15.02.2024 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
29.08.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
04.06.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
PREVIEW Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Independiente Medellin hold a modest edge on our numbers — a lean, not a lock.

Boyaca Chico have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 5 home league games, while Independiente Medellin have found the net in all 5 of their most recent away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Boyaca Chico against 1.17 for Independiente Medellin.

Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin Kick-off Time

Boyaca Chico play Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 13/09/2026, kick-off 02:10 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin is an Independiente Medellin win at about 51% probability, priced 1.85 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Boyaca Chico 22%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 51%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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