Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 2-0 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin beat Boyaca Chico 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 69% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 31%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 1.14 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico?
Independiente Medellin 2-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 65%, draw 20%, Boyaca Chico 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.