Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.80/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.89
-11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.0 Crosses 13.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-2D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
31.03.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
29.09.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
18.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-2
AWAY America de Cali
1.67 xG 1.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
388 Passes 218
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 62% of the ball to America de Cali's 38%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.67 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.50 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs America de Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 31%, draw 35%, America de Cali 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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