Villarreal II 1-1 Atletico Sanluqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.3 — our 23% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
2.09/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.48
+31% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2022 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 2-1 HT 2-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
23.01.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 4-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-1
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Atletico Sanluqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II and Atletico Sanluqueno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Villarreal II had 55% of the ball to Atletico Sanluqueno's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Villarreal II and 1.50 for Atletico Sanluqueno.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Villarreal II 1-1 Atletico Sanluqueno in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 53%, draw 26%, Atletico Sanluqueno 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Over 2.5
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