İsveç 0-1 Kosova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.34
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.58
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.35
X/1
26%
4.0
X/2
5%
16.1
X/X
8%
8.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.65
2/2
4%
12.65
2/X
6%
21.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.65 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-1.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.96/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.84
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.9 Crosses 12.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kosova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.46 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
412 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2025 Kosova Kosova 2-0 HT 2-0 İsveç İsveç DKE
09.10.2021 İsveç İsveç 3-0 HT 1-0 Kosova Kosova DKE
28.03.2021 Kosova Kosova 0-3 HT 0-2 İsveç İsveç DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç
0-1
AWAY Kosova
1.14 xG 1.15
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 0
589 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İsveç vs Kosova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova nicked a narrow win over İsveç 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. İsveç carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İsveç had 67% of the ball to Kosova's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.14 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İsveç and 0.67 for Kosova.

What was the final score of İsveç vs Kosova?

İsveç 0-1 Kosova in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç vs Kosova?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split İsveç 68%, draw 19%, Kosova 12%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (İsveç), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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