Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Kazakistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.65
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
9%
21.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
32%
3.53
X/2
4%
17.35
X/X
6%
5.35
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
4%
17.4
2/X
4%
25.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.53 — our 32% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
69%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.31/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.82
+84% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
23.1 Crosses 7.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kazakistan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.31 xG 0.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
287 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 24
3 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2025 Kazakistan Kazakistan 0-1 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
04.06.2021 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 4-0 HT 1-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
1-1
AWAY Kazakistan
1.85 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
362 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 19
39 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya vs Kazakistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya and Kazakistan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kuzey Makedonya at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya had 59% of the ball to Kazakistan's 41%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.85 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kuzey Makedonya and 0.00 for Kazakistan.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya vs Kazakistan?

Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Kazakistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya vs Kazakistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya 70%, draw 19%, Kazakistan 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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