Nacional Potosi 3-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 16%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +84% / +84%
1.47/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.47
-48% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +111%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.6 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.72 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 232
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
30.07.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-1 HT 2-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
14.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
26.08.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-2 HT 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
11.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
05.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.38 xG 0.07
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
351 Passes 169
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi beat Oriente Petrolero 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 65% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 35%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.67 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosi 3-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 65%, draw 20%, Oriente Petrolero 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLPLK More Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup
13 Nov 2025
03:30 The Strongest vs Aurora Analysis →