Ermenistan 0-1 Macaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
62%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
16%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.35
1/X
5%
17.9
X/1
7%
12.1
X/2
23%
4.12
X/X
8%
6.26
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
31%
1.88
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.35 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.1pp
17%
Draw
22%
-4.3pp
62%
Away Win
62%
+0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan EU Bookmakers 66%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.09/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.4 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Macaristan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.44 xG 1.73
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
238 Passes 531
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.10.2025 Macaristan Macaristan 2-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan
0-1
AWAY Macaristan
0.80 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
341 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ermenistan vs Macaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan edged past Ermenistan 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macaristan as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ermenistan had 48% of the ball to Macaristan's 52%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.80 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Ermenistan vs Macaristan?

Ermenistan 0-1 Macaristan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan vs Macaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan 21%, draw 17%, Macaristan 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macaristan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macaristan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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