Norveç 4-1 Estonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
1.0
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.75
No
47%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
14.3
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
39%
3.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.29
6+ Goals
21%
2.51
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.11 — our 39% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
58%
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
2%
35.0
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
4%
28.0
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
4%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
84%
-2.6pp
10%
Draw
8%
+2.5pp
8%
Away Win
8%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
32%
+20.4pp
47%
BTTS No
68%
-20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Estonya EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
4.23/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.60
+150% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / -24%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
470 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 70%
71.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
40.5 Crosses 8.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Estonya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.99 xG 0.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
512 Passes 292
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2025 Estonya Estonya 0-1 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç DKE
24.03.2016 Estonya Estonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç HAZ
12.11.2014 Norveç Norveç 0-1 HT 0-1 Estonya Estonya HAZ
20.04.2005 Estonya Estonya 1-2 HT 0-1 Norveç Norveç HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç
4-1
AWAY Estonya
2.03 xG 0.72
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
601 Passes 253
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH Norveç vs Estonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç cruised past Estonya 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norveç as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Norveç had 68% of the ball to Estonya's 32%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Norveç had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Norveç and 0.50 for Estonya.

What was the final score of Norveç vs Estonya?

Norveç 4-1 Estonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç vs Estonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norveç win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Norveç 82%, draw 10%, Estonya 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norveç) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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