Nijerya 4-1 Gabon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabon EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.15/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.66
-29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
4-1
AWAY Gabon
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Gabon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya ran out comfortable winners over Gabon 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nijerya had 53% of the ball to Gabon's 47%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Gabon?

Nijerya 4-1 Gabon in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Gabon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 51%, draw 26%, Gabon 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
13 Nov 2025
19:00 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Irak Analysis →
20:00 Azerbaycan vs İzlanda Analysis →
20:00 Ermenistan vs Macaristan Analysis →
20:00 Norveç vs Estonya Analysis →
22:00 Kamerun vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Analysis →
22:45 Fransa vs Ukrayna Analysis →