Fransa 4-0 Ukrayna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.31
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
29.0
X/1
22%
3.78
X/2
2%
31.0
X/X
10%
9.9
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
2%
29.0
2/X
3%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
80%
-5.8pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.0pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.47/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.71
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +117%
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
551 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
51.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
23.5 Crosses 6.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ukrayna
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.34 xG 0.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
543 Passes 324
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 Ukrayna Ukrayna 0-2 HT 0-1 Fransa Fransa DKE
04.09.2021 Ukrayna Ukrayna 1-1 HT 1-0 Fransa Fransa DKE
24.03.2021 Fransa Fransa 1-1 HT 1-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna DKE
07.10.2020 Fransa Fransa 7-1 HT 4-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna HAZ
19.11.2013 Fransa Fransa 3-0 HT 2-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna DKE
15.11.2013 Ukrayna Ukrayna 2-0 HT 0-0 Fransa Fransa DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa
4-0
AWAY Ukrayna
3.81 xG 0.04
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
663 Passes 222
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 2
13 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransa vs Ukrayna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa cruised past Ukrayna 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Fransa had 71% of the ball to Ukrayna's 29%, shots finished 25-1, expected goals 3.81 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fransa and 0.83 for Ukrayna.

What was the final score of Fransa vs Ukrayna?

Fransa 4-0 Ukrayna in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa vs Ukrayna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Fransa 75%, draw 18%, Ukrayna 7%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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