Ukrayna 0-2 Fransa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

Ukrayna
0-2 HT 0-1
Fransa
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Ukrayna vs Fransa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.1
Over 2.5
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 33% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
14.35
1/2
10%
22.35
1/X
5%
22.8
X/1
6%
16.3
X/2
22%
3.71
X/X
9%
6.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.57
2/X
8%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
61%
Away Win
70%
-9.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna v Fransa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa EU Bookmakers 75%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.01/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.56
+100% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +25%
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 87%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
12.0 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Ukrayna vs Fransa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fransa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.53 xG 2.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
318 Passes 557
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.09.2021 Ukrayna Ukrayna 1-1 HT 1-0 Fransa Fransa DKE
24.03.2021 Fransa Fransa 1-1 HT 1-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna DKE
07.10.2020 Fransa Fransa 7-1 HT 4-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna HAZ
19.11.2013 Fransa Fransa 3-0 HT 2-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna DKE
15.11.2013 Ukrayna Ukrayna 2-0 HT 0-0 Fransa Fransa DKE
15.06.2012 Ukrayna Ukrayna 0-2 HT 0-0 Fransa Fransa AVR

Ukrayna 0-2 Fransa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna
0-2
AWAY Fransa
1.34 xG 2.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
353 Passes 477
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Ukrayna vs Fransa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa got the better of Ukrayna 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ukrayna had 44% of the ball to Fransa's 56%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.34 to 2.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ukrayna and 2.33 for Fransa.

What was the final score of Ukrayna vs Fransa?

Ukrayna 0-2 Fransa in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna vs Fransa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna 17%, draw 22%, Fransa 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
5 Sep 2025
00:00 Namibya vs Malavi Analysis →
00:30 Surinam vs Panama Analysis →
02:30 Kolombiya vs Bolivya Analysis →
02:30 Uruguay vs Peru Analysis →
02:30 Arjantin vs Venezuela Analysis →
02:30 Paraguay vs Ekvador Analysis →