Azerbaycan 0-2 İzlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.69
1/2
12%
24.0
1/X
4%
17.3
X/1
10%
10.45
X/2
15%
4.08
X/X
13%
5.24
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.09
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda EU Bookmakers 61%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
0.68/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.87
-57% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
18.0 Crosses 27.0
0.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azerbaycan
0W-1D-1L
AWAY İzlanda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.48 xG 2.69
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
197 Passes 608
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 33
5 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2025 İzlanda İzlanda 5-0 HT 1-0 Azerbaycan Azerbaycan DKE
20.08.2008 İzlanda İzlanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Azerbaycan Azerbaycan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan
0-2
AWAY İzlanda
0.37 xG 1.88
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
269 Passes 500
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan vs İzlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda got the better of Azerbaycan 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İzlanda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Azerbaycan had 38% of the ball to İzlanda's 62%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.37 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İzlanda led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Azerbaycan and 3.00 for İzlanda.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan vs İzlanda?

Azerbaycan 0-2 İzlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan vs İzlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an İzlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan 21%, draw 24%, İzlanda 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İzlanda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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