Boulogne 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.29
X/2
13%
7.25
X/X
14%
4.23
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
6%
5.86
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.01/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-30% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Villefranche
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
03.09.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
27.02.2021 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
28.09.2020 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne nicked a narrow win over Villefranche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boulogne as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Villefranche led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boulogne and 1.00 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Villefranche?

Boulogne 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 45%, draw 29%, Villefranche 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boulogne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boulogne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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