Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Versailles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.91
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
11%
4.94
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.68
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Versailles EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.11/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.38
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Versailles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-1 HT 2-1 Versailles Versailles FR3
26.08.2022 Versailles Versailles 2-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1-0
AWAY Versailles
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Versailles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 squeezed past Versailles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bourg en Bresse 01 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bourg en Bresse 01 had 44% of the ball to Versailles's 56%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.50 for Versailles.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Versailles?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Versailles in the France - National League 1 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Versailles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 35%, draw 30%, Versailles 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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